Saturday, August 8, 2009

Biggest BB hand I've ever played

PokerStars Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (10 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 3, 3
Hero calls, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 raises, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, CO (poster) calls, Button 3-bets, 2 folds, Hero caps, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, CO (poster) calls, Button calls

Flop: (33.5 SB) Q, 10, 3 (8 players)
Hero bets, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 raises, MP1 calls, MP2 3-bets, MP3 calls, 1 fold, Button calls, Hero caps, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, Button calls

Turn: (30.75 BB) A (7 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 bets, 1 fold, MP2 raises, MP3 calls, Button 3-bets, Hero caps, 1 fold, UTG+2 calls, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, Button calls

River: (46.7 BB) 7 (5 players, 3 all-in)
Hero checks, Button bets, Hero calls

Total pot: $48.70 (48.7 BB) | Rake: $0.50

Results:
Button had J, K (straight, Ace high).
Hero mucked 3, 3 (three of a kind, threes).
UTG+2 mucked 8, 8 (one pair, eights).
MP2 mucked 5, 7 (flush, Ace high).
MP3 had 9, 2 (flush, Ace high).
Outcome: Button won $3.20, MP3 won $45

Monday, July 27, 2009

While waiting on word of baseball trades, including Roy Halladay, Marco Scutaro, Scott Downs, Jason Frasor, Scott Rolen and others, I came across this interesting video from the 1996 Blue Jays. I have a vague recollection of it being played at Rogers Centre during the Canada Day game.

Blue Jays video.

Saturday, July 25, 2009

Arsonists

God I hate the Blue Jays relievers. I cringe whenever I see Downs or League or Camp or any of those other bums come trotting in from left field. Frasor is the only one I can stomach for some reason. I'm writing this as the Jays have given up a 9-1 lead after six innings to the Rays and it's now 9-9 in the 10th.

Blech!

Friday, July 24, 2009

Halladay's final start?

What has a strong chance to be Roy Halladay's final start as a Blue Jay is about to get under way at Rogers Centre against the recently perfect-gamed Tampa Rays. Definitely mixed emotions.

Sidenote: Toronto fans just gave Doc a standing ovation as he walked in from the bullpen after warming up. Good job!

I remember his second start for the Jays, the last game of the season vs. Detroit in 1998, one of those outings where everyone is trying to catch the earliest plane they can to start the off-season. Both teams were hapless back then, but Halladay showed a glimpse of his promise, firing a one-hitter in a 2-1 win. I watched the game, there were two out in the bottom of the ninth and Bobby Higginson hit a homerun over the left-field fence. Devastating as a viewer. Doc struggled after that, ending up back in A-ball in 2ooo, working on his mechanics.

I was thinking what great pitcher Doc is most like. He reminds a little bit of Greg Maddux, not overpowering stuff, but pinpoint control. Roy Oswalt, Tim Hudson, the kind of guys who rarely put up a 15 K effort, but by the end of every game they seem to have at least 8IP, 8 Ks, two walks and a win.

It's been a real pleasure to watch Doc pitch over the last decade here. Hopefully his replacement will be part of the booty we get when we deal him.

Bye-bye Brett

Damn, I hate losing minor leaguers in my fantasy baseball leagues. But at least there's an upside if the Brett Wallace/Matt Holliday deal goes down before Monday. I have first pick in our waiver, so I'll be able to add Holliday this Monday and still have an opportunity to pick the best AL guy who comes over to the NL the following Monday. Right now that looks like it'll be Roy Halladay or Cliff Lee.

Long-term, it hurts losing Wallace, but I still have four good minor leaguers and now I'll be able to try to trade for another, possibly using Holliday as bait.

Always a silver lining!

Edit: And it's done. Now I need JP to NOT deal Doc to an NL team until Monday. Yes, I want my cake and I want to eat the damn thing. Is that so wrong?

Thursday, July 23, 2009

Buerhle's perfect

Wow, a perfect game by Mark Buerhle. Fantastic catch by DeWayne Wise, fresh in the game as a defensive replacement, to pull back a HR to lead off the ninth. Nice that Pudge and Matt were able to watch the last two innings with me.

Afternoon game vs. Cleveland

Boring game so far, scoreless in the fourth but Rzepczynski is in trouble, bags juiced, no one out.

edit: Not too bad, got out of it with only one run scoring. 1-0 Cleveland after 3.5.

edit: Two-run triple by Choo makes it 3-1. And Zepper to the showers.

edit: I hate our relievers. Maybe we can trade Frasor to Colorado for Jhoulys Chacin.

edit: Speaking to THE FAN 590's Baseball Today, Toronto Blue Jay's GM J.P. Ricciardi revealed that Roy Halladay informed the organization he will be testing free agency. He elaborated this meant a greater imperative for the club to explore trading the ace pitcher.

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Scutaro moving?

Big game from Scutaro tonight. I believe he's the player most likely to be moved before the deadline.

Will the real Riccardi please step up

I can't figure out if JP Riccardi is the village idiot or an idiot savant.

I sat down to write this with the intention of crucifying the Blue Jays GM for his handling of the whole Doc Halladay trade. And from a fan's point of view, it would be a disappointment if he wasn't dealt for a boatload of prospects after the buildup over the last two weeks.

But every day seems to be some new report on the status of the trade -- we're going to deal him; we're not likely to; it's 50-50. And now he's come up with a deadline, July 28, which I'm sure is written in sand.

But then I thought about it a little more. I play a lot of fantasy sports and I'm in pretty deep AL- and NL-only leagues. So I asked myself how would I approach trading a major star. Well, I had that exact situation earlier this season when I decided to capitalize on the value of Chase Utley and see what he'd bring back.

First, I let everyone know I'd be taking offers for him. I outlined the kind of offer I'd be looking for and also said this wasn't a fire sale. If I wasn't blown away with an offer, I'd hold on to him. In fact, it would be much easier for me to hold onto Utley because our league doesn't have contracts and such. That makes his value even higher, relatively speaking, than Halladay's.

I got some interest, started taking bids, making counter bids and letting everyone know that they weren't the only ones interested in him -- that they better bring their best offers. In the end, I moved him for Colby Rasmus, Cameron Maybin and Madison Bumgarner. A pretty good haul.

So now let's take a look at JP. First, he let everyone know Halladay was available, that it would take a lot to get him and that he wasn't married to the idea of dealing him. Now he's given a deadline, another effort to increase the urgency other teams have to make a deal.

A friend of mine at ESPN asked me when JP was going to get fired. I told him at the end of the season. But he might actually salvage his job if he handles this dicey situation well.

Tuesday, July 21, 2009

Vernon Wells defence

Remember when Vernon Wells used to make the catches on those balls hit in the gap? Ya, not so much anymore. He's lost a step-and-a-half and seems tentative once he hits the warning track. Oh well, only four more years and $90M watching his slow decline. He should be playing RF now with Rios in centre, but his ego probably won't allow it.

The advanced defensive metrics at fangraphs.com has him as one of the worst CFers in the game. And this was after he won the Gold Glove from 2004-06.

Musing on Doc Halladay

I can't tell you how sick I am of national baseball writers talking about how Blue Jay fans will be devastated if Toronto trades Doc Halladay.

Why do these writers continue to underestimate the intelligence of baseball fans north of the border? To them, it seems, you can't really understand baseball unless you've had a major league team since the turn of the previous century.

Guess what guys: Baseball has been around Toronto a lot longer than most of you think. Babe Ruth, in fact, hit his first professional homerun in Toronto, at Hanlan's Point Stadium while pitching the Providence Grays to a 9-0 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs in 1914. Trust me, we're not all just puckheads up here.

We understand how difficult it is for Toronto to attract and keep top-notch free agents. It's why we had to overpay for guys like BJ Ryan and AJ Burnett. Hell, I remember when the Jays signed their very first significant free agent -- Dennis Lamp way back prior to the 1984 season. Yup, Dennis Lamp. The town was all atwitter. 1983, remember, was the first time the Jays had flirted with respectability and a pennant race.

Which brings us back to Halladay. I was at my monthly home poker game Saturday night, a group of guys fairly knowledgeable about sports. Not only was there unanimity on the topic of trading Halladay now, but there was also agreement that people would be ticked off if he wasn't dealt.

Jays fans understand we're not going to compete with Boston and New York and Tampa Bay this year, or probably next. And we don't exactly have the deepest farm system around: Travis Snider and JP Arencibia are the gems, with a whole bunch of mid-level pitchers and hitters like David Cooper and Kevin Ahrens and Justin Jackson. Sure, we could keep Doc until his contract runs out, but that would net us two draft picks in the 2011 draft, and at least three years past that when those guys would be thought about making the big-league team.

Doc's value will never be higher than it is right now, for the simple fact that teams get an extra two months of production out of him. Those who think the Jays will be able to get for more him after the season are suffering from a pretty big case of wishful thinking.

So let's get something done with Phillie or Texas or Boston. They seem to have the deepest farm systems. And when that's done, we'll talk about moving Rolen and Scutaro and Frasor, which is also something the Jays should be doing.